What TiltGuard does
TiltGuard is a pre-bet discipline check. Before you place a wager, it looks at your stake size, bankroll, emotional context, market type, and recent betting behavior to flag patterns that experienced bettors know lead to bad outcomes.
It does not pick winners. It does not have a model for predicting games. Its only job is to slow you down for 60 seconds so you can see what kind of bet you are about to make.
How the risk score works
The risk score (0–100) is a rules-based heuristic, not a machine learning model. It adds and subtracts points based on well-documented tilt signals:
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Stake sizing
Bets above 5% of bankroll are a common source of overexposure, especially on correlated parlays. -
Chasing losses
Loss streaks and same-day volume are the clearest behavioral signals of tilt in the research on problem gambling. -
Impulse markets
Live bets and parlays are structurally higher-vig and more emotionally driven than pre-game singles. -
Written reasoning
Articulating a bet in words before placing it is a proven technique for separating analytical bets from emotional ones.
What TiltGuard is not
TiltGuard is not a sportsbook, a picks service, a financial advisor, or a gambling operator. It has no connection to any sportsbook and receives no revenue from bets placed. The prototype version stores all data in your browser only — no account is created, no personal data is transmitted.